The purpose of this study is to test the weak form efficiency within framework of the random walk model by using price movements of BIST-100 Index and to evaluate forecasting performance of investors in Turkish stock market. Whether investors can earn excess returns or not has been decided with...

The study examines the weak form efficiency in stock returns for the economies of Brazil, Russia, India and China (BRIC), from January 2000 to December 2010. The study uses LM unit root test with one and two structural breaks as given by Lee and Strazicich (2003, 2004), along with the recently...

Capital market efficiency of emerging markets has been investigated widely in recent years. But to-date the empirical results remain inconclusive because most empirical studies use empirical tests, which are designed to detect linear structure in financial time series. However, recent...

This article validates the chaotic behavior in the Argentinean, Brazilian, Canadian, Chilean, American, Peruvian and Mexican Stock Markets using the Merval, Bovespa, S&P TSX Composite, IPSA, IGPA, S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrials, Nasdaq, IGBVL and IPC Stock Indexes respectively. The results of...

In this study, asymmetric behavior of unemployment rate is investigated between years 1923 and 2011. In this regard, we employ linear unit root tests and Markov Switching model. According to unit root test results, unemployment rate data is not stationary in level, while the first difference of...

This paper is aimed at testing for nonlinearity and chaos in Investment Grade CDS indices of US and Europe. For this exercise, the author has chosen the two most liquid indices, namely CDX.NA.IG (US) and iTraxx.Europe (Europe). BDS test (Brock, Dechert, & Scheinkman, 1987) is employed to test...

The repercussions of disruptions in the global crude oil market have a substantial influence on economies worldwide. Oil shocks are considered important estimators of many economic variables. The current research examines the effects of oil price shocks on food prices in China using monthly data...