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German economy : industry struggles to shake of the crisis : DIW economic outlook

Michelsen, Claus; Clemens, Marius; Hanisch, Max; … - In: DIW weekly report : economy, politics, science : a … 9 (2019) 49/50, pp. 424-430

The German economy remains weak as of the fourth quarter of 2019. However, although industrial production is continuing its downward trend, there are signs of a slow recovery. The manufacturing sector is likely to expand production gradually beginning in 2020; therefore, it is less likely the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012151733

Is the Fed's news perception different from the private sector's?

Best, Gabriela; Kapinos, Pavel - In: Applied economics 51 (2019) 16, pp. 1694-1710

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012196590

Forecasting economic activity in data-rich environment

Leroux, Maxime; Kotchoni, Rachidi; Stevanovic, Dalibor - 2017

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011738071

Model averaging in Markov-switching models : predicting national recessions with regional data

Guérin, Pierre; Leiva-Leon, Danilo - 2017

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011791491

Forecasting performance of private sector's unemployment forecasts in advanced economies

Jalles, João Tovar - In: International review of applied economics 31 (2017) 6, pp. 707-733

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011797430

MIDAS modeling for core inflation forecasting

Libonatti, Luis - 2017 - This draft: December2017

, reveals a slight trend towards increased forecast accuracy as the daily variable approaches a full month for certain horizons. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011771633

Confidence calibration in a multiyear geopolitical forecasting competition

Moore, Don A.; Swift, Samuel A.; Minster, Angela; … - In: Management science : journal of the Institute for … 63 (2017) 11, pp. 3552-3565

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011772472

Central bank transparency and the consensus forecast : what does the Economist poll of forecasters tell us?

Trabelsi, Emna - In: Research in international business and finance 38 (2016), pp. 338-359

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011640664

Inflation forecasts' performance in Latin America

Jalles, João Tovar - In: Review of development finance 7 (2017) 2, pp. 157-168

property that as the forecast horizon shortens accuracy improves. On average, forecasters underpredict inflation, but this …-ahead forecasts but not for current year. Tests' results point to forecast inefficiency which is also evidenced by a tendency to … inflation rate and the extent of underprediction increases during recessions. The hypothesis of forecast efficiency is …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011779567

The myths about forecasting, business cycles and time series, which prevent economists to forecast : with an application to shipping industry

Goulielmos, Alexandros M. - In: Modern economy 8 (2017) 12, pp. 1455-1477

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011785609