Showing 51 - 60 of 433,326
This work aims to investigate the (inter)relations of information arrival, news sentiment, volatility and jump dynamics … volatility modelling is justified in our specific calibration samples (2008 and 2013, respectively). However, our results reject …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013251599
. Applying our model to high-frequency transaction data, we detect two distinct regimes in the intraday volatility process: a … dominant volatility regime that is observable throughout the trading day representing the risk-transferring trading activity of … investors, and a minor volatility regime that concentrates around market liquidity shocks which mainly capture impacts of firm …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903299
This paper introduces novel volatility diffusion models to account for the stylized facts of high-frequency financial … data such as volatility clustering, intra-day U-shape, and leverage effect. For example, the daily integrated volatility of … the proposed volatility process has a realized GARCH structure with an asymmetric effect on log-returns. To further …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013405987
. They are applicable to the complete class of observation driven models and are valid for a wide range of estimation … that is embedded in the time-varying parameter path. We illustrate our findings in a volatility analysis for monthly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010484891
We consider the problem of testing for an omitted multiplicative long-term component in GARCH-type models. Under the alternative there is a two-component model with a short-term GARCH component that fluctuates around a smoothly time-varying long-term component which is driven by the dynamics of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011958200
increases in realized volatility and arrive when differences-in-opinion among market participants are large at times of FOMC … press releases. Unlike intensity jumps, volatility jumps fail to explain the variation in news-induced realized volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013406297
This paper uses R/S analysis and fractional integration techniques to examine the persistence of two sets of 12 ESG and conventional stock price indices from the MSCI database over the period 2007-2020 for a large number of both developed and emerging markets. Both sets of results imply that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012520863
Forecasting volatility models typically rely on either daily or high frequency (HF) data and the choice between these … two categories is not obvious. In particular, the latter allows to treat volatility as observable but they suffer from … these two family forecasting-volatility models, comparing their performance (in terms of Value at Risk, VaR) under the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012958968
There is evidence that volatility forecasting models that use intraday data provide better forecast accuracy as … fills this gap in the literature and extends previous studies on forecasting stock market volatility in several important …, we use forecast horizons ranging from 1 day to 6 months. Third, we evaluate the precision of volatility forecast provided …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012935461
Forecasting-volatility models typically rely on either daily or high frequency (HF) data and the choice between these … two categories is not obvious. In particular, the latter allows to treat volatility as observable but they suffer of many … forecasting-volatility models, comparing their performance (in terms of Value at Risk, VaR) under the assumptions of jumping …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014124325