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Confidence calibration in a multiyear geopolitical forecasting competition
Moore, Don A.; Swift, Samuel A.; Minster, Angela; … - In: Management science : journal of the Institute for … 63 (2017) 11, pp. 3552-3565
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011772472
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Predicting above-median and below-median growth rates
Hölzl, Alexander; Lobe, Sebastian - In: Review of managerial science 10 (2016) 1, pp. 105-133
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011669902
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Chapter 3 Forecast Evaluation
West, Kenneth D. - 2006
This chapter summarizes recent literature on asymptotic inference about forecasts. Both analytical and simulation based methods are discussed. The emphasis is on techniques applicable when the number of competing models is small. Techniques applicable when a large number of models is compared to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014023703
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Text data rule - don't they? : a study on the (additional) information of Handelsblatt data for nowcasting German GDP in comparison to established economic indicators
Shrub, Yuliya; Rieger, Jonas; Müller, Henrik; Jentsch, … - 2022
The prompt availability of information on the current state of the economy in real-time is required for prediction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013361278
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Forecasting Chinese GDP using online data
Liu, Taoxiong; Xu, Xiaofei; Fan, Fangda - In: Emerging markets finance & trade : a journal of the … 54 (2018) 4/5/6, pp. 733-746
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012123467
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China's growth prospects
Barro, Robert J. - In: Frontiers of economics in China : selected publications … 11 (2016) 2, pp. 192-195
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011519081
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Over-optimism in forecasts by official budget agencies and its implications
Frankel, Jeffrey A. - In: Oxford review of economic policy 27 (2011) 4, pp. 536-562
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009619591
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The forecast for scientific and technological development in Russia : how realistic is this mechanism of strategic planning?
Alekseev, Aleksej Veniaminovič - In: Problems of economic transition 62 (2020) 3, pp. 202-213
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012607722
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Investment potential forecast and strategies for its expansion : case of Ukraine
Kasianenko, Volodymyr; Kasianenko, Tetiana; Kasaeva, Juliya - In: Investment management and financial innovations 17 (2020) 1, pp. 329-347
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012301324
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Forecasting air passenger demand between settlements worldwide based on socio-economic scenarios
Terekhov, Ivan - 2017
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012292420