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crises and economic recessions. I propose a brief history of the 2008 crisis and insist on the loss of confidence within the … confidence: the failure of the Federal Reserve Board to abide by its mission; the ill-advised political interventions in mortgage … confidence and move out of a bad and stable economic equilibrium. Considering data on gross job creation and loss in the US …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011183740
This paper presents a simple macroeconomic model where government spending affects aggregate demand directly and indirectly, through an expectational channel. Prices are fully flexible and the model is static, so intertemporal issues play no role. There are three important elements in the model:...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011185806
"confidence" and show that it helps account for many salient features of the data; it drives a significant fraction of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011186619
Departing from the traditional approach to modeling an agent who finds it difficult to make clear-cut comparisons between alternatives, we introduce the notion of graded preferences: Given two alternatives, the agent reports a number between 0 and 1, which reflects her inclination to prefer the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011188895
confidence in his probability judgements according to the following maxim: the larger the stakes involved in a decision, the more … confidence is required in a probability judgement for it to play a role in the decision. A formal representation of the decision … makerʼs confidence is proposed and used to formulate a family of decision models conforming to this maxim. A natural member of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011049884
Policy makers often implement austerity measures when the sustainability of public finances is in doubt and, hence, sovereign yield spreads are high. Is austerity successful in bringing about a reduction in yield spreads? We employ a new panel data set which contains sovereign yield spreads for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011122544
the different response of business confidence and private investment. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011122547
the present model takes into account his confidence in beliefs when evaluating general uncertain situations. From an … his confidence in the uncertainty assessment of a particular setting. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011130823
economic crisis is the 'confidence channel', i.e. that the financial crisis affected firms, banks and householdsâ …€™ expectations and confidence, thus leading to what they were fearing. And I propose to model expectations and the state of … confidence of private agents to use the indexes calculated by national statistical services from monthly polls. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011133327
Polish small firm policy stresses the importance of tying support measures to firm performance and intention to grow. Polish small firms are smaller than their EU counterparts and are therefore considered to be at a competitive disadvantage. They are also vital for employment generation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011071603