A generalised cross entropy instrumental variables estimator is used to recover the non-stationary transition probability matrix for the Danish pork industry. A technique is also developed to recover missing data points due to category re-specifications. The impact of a set of exogenous...

The empirical relationship between money and output is one of the most studied issues in macroeconomics, and a large literature has examined the causal links between monetary variables and output. One puzzle from this literature is that the results of causality tests appear to be sensitive with...

We try to establish which is the structure that best defines the venezuelan foreign exchange market. Asking ourselves whether there exist a group of agents able to exert market power. We assume that the flow of currency between banks follows a first order stochastic Markov process of first...

In this paper, we introduce a new class of bivariate threshold VAR cointegration models. In the models, outside a compact region, the processes are cointegrated, while in the compact region, we allow different kinds of possibilities. We show that the bivariate processes from a 1/2-null recurrent...

The aim of this article is to define the Lithuanian public pension system reforms, influenced by the last economic crisis and social challenges (ageing processes, raising social expenses). The paper also investigates the influence that current demographic trends will exert on the financial...

Представлена авторская методика исследования процесса здоровья населения на основе персонифицированных статистических данных. Разработана математическая...

<Para ID="Par1">It is well known that firings of a well-stirred chemically reacting system can be described by a continuous-time Markov chain. The currently-used exact implementations of Gillespie’s algorithm simulate every reaction event individually and thus the computational cost is inevitably high. In...</para>

<Para ID="Par1">This article suggests a new approach for modelling longitudinal paired comparison data. As individual preferences may change from one time point to another, we propose extending the basic log-linear Bradley–Terry model by incorporating a Markovian structure with temporal within-comparison...</para>

Hospital readmission has become a critical metric of quality and cost of healthcare. Medicare anticipates that nearly $17 billion is paid out on the 20 % of patients who are readmitted within 30 days of discharge. Although several interventions such as transition care management have been...

To estimate the New Keynesian model, we use four key macroeconomic series for Thailand. The priors are chosen to reflect general considerations of the appropriate model dynamics and our judgment about the Thai economy. The model is solved initially so that the baseline forecast replicates staff...