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Die vorliegende Dissertation mit dem Titel Monetary DSGE Models of Two Countries: Set-Up, Estimation, and Forecasting …
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We develop a novel multinomial logistic model to detect and forecast concurrent recessions across multi-countries. The key advantage of our proposed framework is that we can detect recessions across countries using the additional informational content from the cross-country panel feature of the...
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Equilibrium (DSGE) models in forecasting the Great Financial Crisis (GFC), focusing on the U.S. While existing models have added a … includes both the financial sector and endogenous housing supply and show that forecasting accuracy significantly improves when … highlight the necessity of combining model extension and housing supply data for accurate forecasting during economic crises. I …
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