This study presents a small macroeconometric model with a fiscal sector, extending the model presented in Debuque and Corpus (2022). The model retains the original core blocks of domestic demand, international trade, employment, prices, and monetary sectors, and adds a fiscal sector consisting...

We study the loss function of 15 European governments as implied by their budget balance forecasts. Results suggest that the shape of the loss function varies across countries. The loss function becomes more asymmetric as the forecast horizon increases and in advance of parliamentary election....