This paper presents a review of the most significant fiscal rules policymakers can choose from. The insights from this review are then applied to the current budgetary situation of the European Union. In the European Union, the supranational Stability and Growth Pact (SGP) should provide the...

This paper analyses Belgian fiscal sustainability using both a retrospective and a prospective view. In the retrospective part, empirical tests on Belgian government solvency during the period 1980-2010 are carried out. In the prospective part a scenario analysis of budgetary adjustment in the...

We explore the role of financial openness – capital account openness and gross capital inflows – and a newly constructed gravity-based contagion index to assess the importance of these factors in the run-up to currency crises. Using a quarterly data set of 46 advanced and emerging market...

This paper studies the design and effects of monetary and fiscal policy in the euro area. To do so, a stylized two‐region model of monetary and fiscal policy rules in the EMU is built. We analyse how monetary and fiscal rules affect the adjustment dynamics in the model. Both the effects on the...

This paper studies the design, effects and interactions of monetary and fiscal policies in the euro area. A stylized New Keynesian model with backward and forward looking dynamics is developed and augmented with monetary and fiscal policy rules. Numerical simulations are used to assess the...

This paper studies the impact of political risk on exchange rates. We focus on the Brexit Referendum as it provides a natural experiment where both exchange rate expectations and a time-varying political risk factor can be measured directly. We build a simple portfolio model which predicts that...

Currency crises that coincide with banking crises tend to share four elements. First, governments provide guarantees to domestic and foreign bank creditors. Second, banks do not hedge their exchange rate risk. Third, there is a lending boom before the crises. Finally, when the currency/banking...

Drawing on both macroeconomic and micro-based exchange rate models, the authors revisit the academic literature on exchange rate determination and summarize the state of knowledge about what drives movements in exchange rates. The focus is on highlighting recent advances in our understanding...

Certains pays d`Ameacute;rique latine, d`Asie et d`autres reacute;gions du monde qui ont entrepris de libeacute;raliser leurs opeacute;rations financiegrave;res et de stabiliser leur eacute;conomie en s`appuyant sur le taux de change ont vu affluer les capitaux eacute;trangers depuis 1991. Nombre...