This paper integrates a financial accelerator mechanism à la Bernanke et al. (1999) and time-varying uncertainty into a medium-scale Dynamic New Keynesian model. In our model, uncertainty emerges from monetary policy (policy uncertainty) as well as from financial risks (micro uncertainty) and...

This paper integrates a financial accelerator mechanism à la Bernanke et al. (1999) and time-varying uncertainty into a Dynamic New Keynesian model. We examine the extent to which uncertainty and credit conditions interact with one another. The idea is that uncertainty aggravates the...

This paper elaborates on the link between financial market volatility and real economic activity. Using monthly data for Germany from 1968 to 1998, we specify GARCH models to capture the variability of stock market prices, of the real exchange rate, and of a long-term and of a short-term rate of...

Kurse und Konjunkturzyklen: Verursachen Finanzmarktvolatilitäten Schwankungen der realwirtschaftlichen Aktivität? Dieser Beitrag analysiert den Zusammenhang zwischen Finanzmarktvolatilität und realer ökonomischer Aktivität. Unter Verwendung von Monatsdaten für die Bundesrepublik...

In a context of high economic uncertainty, this paper aims to analyse the impacts of uncertainty on income and wealth inequality in the four largest economies of the euro area: Germany, France, Italy and Spain. This is the first study to evaluate this relationship in these countries and the...

This paper elaborates on the link between financial market volatility and real economic activity. Using monthly data for Germany from 1968 to 1998, we specify GARCH models to capture the variability of stock market prices, of the real exchange rate, and of a long-term and of a short-term rate of...

This paper is part of author's Master Thesis Chaos in emerging capital market: an empirical study on the Jakarta Stock Exchange. Some evidences of the existence of chaotic system proved by chaos researches on the developed market as conducted by some researchers strongly motivate us to try to...

In this research paper we search the evidence of our suspection on the existence of a combined process of chaotic and stochastic process. First, we test for normal and IID. Second, we test for nonlinearity. Then we applied best fit stochastic model. We test chaotic process in the residual of...

Secured and unsecured credit composition differently affects the business cycle. US credit accounts are decomposed considering secured and unsecured contracts for businesses and households and their sample correlations with real activity compared to the conditional evidence from an estimated...

This paper studies the role of narratives for macroeconomic fluctuations. Microfounding narratives as directed acyclic graphs, we show how exposure to different narratives can affect expectations in an otherwise-standard macroeconomic framework. We identify such competing narratives in news...