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-2020, spanning four election cycles, we test the hypothesis that bank failures are less likely before presidential elections. We find … that bank failures are less likely to occur in the twelve months leading up to an election. However, we do not observe … election cycles in bank failures are more pronounced for banks associated with greater political costs. Overall, our results …
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We study the electoral impact of protesting against the far right by investigating the demonstrations held during the 2002 French presidential elections against far-right candidate Jean-Marie Le Pen. Instrumenting rally attendance with rainfall while factoring in that some municipalities never...
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candidate to win an election, even though his main agenda item (i.e., postal privatization) is strongly opposed by special …
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This paper develops a theoretical framework that makes predictions on (a) the conditions under which a populist party decides to run and the policy position it takes and (b) voters' response under different electoral systems. We test these predictions using data on Italian municipal elections...
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