Based on China's experience between 1980 and 2002, a cointegrated vector autoregression model was established to explore the relationships among real interest rates, real exchange rates and balance of payments in China. Taking into account institutional changes, the empirical study shows that...

This paper presents evidence that balance sheet effects are critical determinants of both the likelihood of a crisis and of income losses following a crisis. The paper tests the validity of quot;insurancequot; and quot;liquidityquot; models of currency crisis. Both models predict that the...

When developing countries announce debt relief agreements under the Brady Plan, their stock markets appreciate by an average of 60% in real dollar terms - a $42 billion increase in shareholder value. There is no significant stock market increase for a control group of countries that do not sign...

Government expenditures are procyclical in emerging markets and counter-cyclical in developed economies. We show this pattern is driven by differences in social transfers. Transfers are more countercyclical and comprise a larger portion of spending in developed economies compared to emerging. In...

This paper assesses the impact of economic policy uncertainty to UK monetary policy stance and exchange rate movements in light of the UK's decision to leave the European Union. Our results show that the economic significance of exchange rate movements heightens during the Referendum period. We...

In this work, behavior of money multipliers for a developing country, Turkey is examined and is calculated by estimating the values of the model constructed for the purpose for the period of 1952-1972. However, model lends itself for applications covering any other period.Study includes three...

Turkish Abstract: 'Özel Çekme Hakları' deyimi baslıca iki şeyi ifade etmektedir: Birinci olarak bir 'hesap birimini' simgelemektedir. Öte yandan bir 'açık kredi' anlamına gelmektedir. Özel Çekme Hakları Para Fonu'nun bir hesap standardı olarak görülmelidir. Bunların 'kağıt...

I investigate the relevance of a fiscal regime for disinflation in new EU member states (NMS). I generalize the framework of Obstfeld and Rogoff (1995) to incorporate the non-Ricardian fiscal regime and two monetary feedback rules: inflation targeting and depreciation targeting. Euro accession...

Stock market is accumulating to the liquidity of the financial sector by providing a substitute for risk or alternative through diversifying the risk of investor. When the stock market is internationally compete, only if risk is more diversify and its equip the saving, source of information...

The global financial crisis (2008-09) led to a sharp contraction in both Euro Area (EA) and US real activity, and was followed by a long-lasting slump. However, the post-crisis adjustment in the EA and the US shows striking differences—in particular, the EA slump has been markedly more...