We study strategic trading with a market maker who does not know the joint distribution of public information and an asset's value, and hence cannot interpret information properly. Following a public event, a probabilistic-ally informed trader who knows the distribution and liquidity traders...

We characterize axiomatically a stochastic choice model, the consistent-mistakes model (CMM), that describes an error-prone decision maker's choices. In contrast to random utility models, CMMs generate closed-form choice probability. Under the axioms, we uniquely identify from the choices an...

This paper proposes simple axioms that characterize a generalization of backward induction. At any node of a decision tree, the decision maker looks forward a fixed number of stages perfectly. Beyond that, the decision maker aggregates continuation values according to a function that captures...

We study a decision maker’s learning behavior when she receives recommendations from a black box (a recommender that the decision maker does not understand how it generates recommendations). We introduce four reasonable axioms and show that they cannot be satisfied simultaneously. We analyze...

Firms offer a variety of products to meet different customer needs. In many horizontally differentiated markets, prices are stable and firms make infrequent adjustment to their product lines. While prior research focuses on product line design, we investigate how firms should allocate their...