Equilibrium nominal interest rates are useful indicators for both monetary policy authorities and market players. However, there are few studies which estimate Japan's equilibrium rate because of its persistent low interest rate. We overcome this challenge by using survey forecasts of interest...

This paper surveys the empirical analyses that examine the effects of the Bank of Japan (BOJ)'s quantitative easing policy (QEP), which was implemented from March 2001 through March 2006. The survey confirms a clear effect whereby the commitment to maintain the QEP fostered the expectations that...

Standard theoretical models predict that higher inflation expectations generate greater current consumer spending at the zero lower bound of interest rates. However, a recent empirical study using US micro data finds negative results for this relationship. We use micro data for Japan, which has...

This paper structurally investigates the changes in the Federal Reserve's communication strategy during the 1990s by analyzing anticipated and unanticipated disturbances to a Taylor rule. The anticipated monetary policy disturbances are identified by estimating a medium-scale dynamic stochastic...

We analyze the effectiveness of monetary policy rules in the presence of the zero lower bound on nominal interest rates, using stochastic simulations. Specifically, we assume a small structural model composed of the IS and AS curves with both forward-looking and backward-looking agents, and...

Bu çalışma para politikaları kararlarına ilişkin beklentilerindeki bir değişimin, finansal yatırım araçlarının fiyatları üzerindeki etkisini ve finansal yatırım araçları arasındaki etkileşimi incelemektedir. Çalışma, para politikası beklenti şokları ile finansal...

Friedman (1984), parasal büyümedeki değişkenliklerin paranın gelir dolanım hızında düşüşe yol açabileceğini ileri sürmüştür. Para otoritesi, para arzını kısa süre içerisinde arttırdığında para arzının oynaklığını arttırmakta ve buda belirsizliğe neden olarak...

This study investigates the dynamics of inflation for Turkish economy from 1990 to until 2013 under the New Keynesian Philips Curve framework by using the non-causal time series methodology developed by Lanne and Saikkonen (2011) and Lanne and Luoto (2013). There is a vigorous ongoing debate on...

In this paper, we investigate the asymmetric effect of exchange rate movements on prices in both expansion and recession cycles for the inflation targeting (IT) period in Turkey, from 2002:M1 to 2012:M10, by using a co-integrating non-linear auto regression distributed lag (NARDL) model. This...

Fiyat istikrarının yanı sıra finansal istikrarı da gözeten bir para politikası çerçevesi çizmek mümkün. Bu makalede, önce, küresel krizden önce uygulanan (klasik) enflasyon hedeflemesi rejiminin finansal istikrarı da gözetecek biçimde nasıl yeniden tasarlanabileceği...