Economic policy usually faces a number of risks and uncertainties, as a byproduct of the changing nature of signals, the economic structure, the interaction of aggregate variables, the mutations in the behavior of economic agents and their reaction to policy decisions. It is generally...

Plusieurs travaux récents sont consacrés à l’examen du comportement du banquier central face à l’incertitude affectant notamment son environnement économique. Ce papier propose, du point de vue du banquier central, une synthèse des principales sources d’incertitude ainsi qu’une...

Plusieurs travaux récents sont consacrés à l’examen du comportement du banquier central face à l’incertitude affectant notamment son environnement économique. Ce papier propose, du point de vue du banquier central, une synthèse des principales sources d’incertitude ainsi qu’une...

Central Banker’s Behaviour in an Uncertain EnvironmentSeveral recent papers are devoted to the examination of the central banker’s behaviour in an uncertain economic environment. This paper proposes, from a central banker’s point of view, a synthesis of the main sources of uncertainty as...

A lexicographic preference ordering of policy objectives is used to define the policymaker's choice among alternatives. It is shown how the constrained multiple goal problem can be placed in a one-to-one relationship with multidimensional utility analysis. The method is applied to a model of the...

The idea of libertarian paternalism might seem to be an oxymoron, but it is both possible and legitimate for private and public institutions to affect behavior while also respecting freedom of choice. Often people's preferences are ill-formed, and their choices will inevitably be influenced by...

For over a decade, I have been promoting a Free To Choose Medicine (FTCM) initiative in op-eds, journal articles, interviews, and monographs. FTCM would break the FDA's monopoly on access to new drugs. It would enable patients, advised by their doctors, to make informed decisions about using...

Robust control theory is a tool for assessing decision rules when a decision maker distrusts either the specification of transition laws or the distribution of hidden state variables or both. Specification doubts inspire the decision maker to want a decision rule to work well for a ∅ of models...

Several recent papers are devoted to the examination of the central banker's behaviour in an uncertain economic environment. This paper proposes, from a central banker's point of view, a synthesis of the main sources of uncertainty as well as an illustration of their effects within an analytical...