During the 1990s Francis Fukuyama announced the end of history. The 2000s showed how it is an illusion to imagine a peaceful world without conflict. In this book, the authors explore how six major constraints are set to fix the trajectory of the global economy. Three of them are new: the aging...

This is the first book combining research on the Global Environment, Catastrophic Risks and Economic Theory and Policy. Modern economic theory originated in the middle of the twentieth century when industrial expansion coupled with population growth led to a voracious use of natural resources...

Causal analytics methods can revolutionize the use of data to make effective decisions by revealing how different choices affect probabilities of various outcomes. This book presents and illustrates models, algorithms, principles, and software for deriving causal models from data and for using...

'Tony Cox is among the most active and creative architects and users of quantitative risk analysis. This book is full of interesting equations, conceptual designs and conundrums that characterize QRA and its applications to risk management. Informed by trenchant thinking and perceptive writing,...

Introduction: Concept of Risk -- Characteristics of Risks in the Modern World -- Risk Perspectives -- Risk Governance: An Overview -- Pre-assessment and Framing of Risk -- Risk Appraisal -- Risk Characterization and Evaluation -- Risk Management -- Risk Communication -- Stakeholder and Public...

Preface -- Setting the landscape -- Examples of risk information concealment practice -- Causes of risk information concealment -- Major on-going cases with information concealment practice -- Succesful risk information management.

Einführung -- Risikoaggregation als wichtiger Aspekt des Risikomanagements -- Stand der Wissenschaft bei der Aggregation von Risiken -- Fallstudien aus der Industrie -- Die Aggregation von Risiken bei der SAP AG -- Bedeutung der Risikoaggregation bei der BLG LOGISTICS GROUP -- Integriertes...

Bei einer wohnwirtschaftlichen Portfoliobewertung ist eine qualifizierte Wertermittlung auf Einzelobjektebene insbesondere in einer frühen Transaktionsphase aus Zeit- und Kostengründen nicht machbar. Stefan Haas entwickelt eine Bewertungsmethodik, welche standardisiert einen...