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HOW TO GROUP MARKET PARTICIPANTS? HETEROGENEITY IN HEDGING BEHAVIOR
Pennings, Joost M.E.; Garcia, Philip; Irwin, Scott H.; … - Agricultural and Applied Economics Association - AAEA - 2003
Using a generalized mixture model, we model individual heterogeneity by identifying groups of participants that respond in a similar manner to the determinants of economic behavior. The procedure emphasizes the role of theory as the determinants of behavior are used to simultaneously explain...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005220748
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Does the Masters Hypothesis Explain Recent Food Price Spikes?
Irwin, Scott H. - International Association of Agricultural Economists - IAAE - 2012
The Masters Hypothesis is the claim that unprecedented buying pressure in recent years from commodity index investors created massive bubbles in food and energy prices. A number of recent studies investigate the empirical relationship between index investment and price movements in agricultural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010913967
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The Marketing Performance of Illinois and Kansas Wheat Farmers
Dietz, Sarah N.; Aulerich, Nicole M.; Irwin, Scott H.; … - In: Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics 41 (2009) 01
The purpose of this paper is to analyze the marketing performance of wheat farmers in Illinois and Kansas over 1982â … marketing performance of wheat farmers in Illinois and Kansas is about equal to the market if a 24- or 20-month market benchmark … harvest benchmark is used. The sensitivity of marketing performance to the market benchmark considered is explained by the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005041379
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The Marketing Performance of Illinois and Kansas Wheat Farmers
Dietz, Sarah N.; Aulerich, Nicole M.; Irwin, Scott H.; … - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, … - 2008
The purpose of this paper is to investigate the marketing performance of wheat farmers in Illinois and Kansas over 1982 … average difference between farmer and market benchmark prices are sensitive to the market benchmark considered. Marketing … benchmark is used. The sensitivity of marketing performance to the market benchmark considered is explained by the seasonal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005804781
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Modeling Farmers' Use of Market Advisory Services
Pennings, Joost M.E.; Irwin, Scott H.; Good, Darrel L. - NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, … - 2001
In an effort to improve marketing of their products, many farmers use market advisory services (MAS). To date, there is … their marketing plans, and how they choose among these services. Based on the literature on consulting services usage, a … the match between the MAS and the farmer's marketing philosophy drive MAS usage. To account for possible heterogeneity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005805809
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DOES THE MARKET ANTICIPATE SMOOTHING IN USDA CROP PRODUCTION FORECASTS?
Isengildina, Olga; Irwin, Scott H.; Good, Darrel L. - Agricultural and Applied Economics Association - AAEA - 2004
soybean production forecasts during 1970/71 through 2003/04 marketing years. The analysis revealed that markets consistently …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005806757
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PUTTING THE RISK PROTECTION ACT OF 2000 TO WORK: APPLIED MARKETING STRATEGIES (PowerPoint Presentation)
Irwin, Scott H.; Good, Darrel L.; Martines-Filho, Joao Gomes - Office of the Chief Economist, Department of Agriculture - 2001
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005807860
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THE EFFECTS OF FUTURES TRADING BY LARGE HEDGE FUNDS AND CTAS ON MARKET VOLATILITY
Holt, Bryce R.; Irwin, Scott H. - NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, … - 2000
This study uses the newly available data from the CFTC to investigate the market impact of futures trading by large hedge funds and CTAs. Regression results show that there is a positive relationship between the trading volume of large hedge funds and CTAs and market volatility. However, a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005807878
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Do Composite Procedures Really Improve the Accuracy of Outlook Forecasts?
Colino, Evelyn V.; Irwin, Scott H.; Garcia, Philip - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, … - 2009
This paper investigates whether the accuracy of outlook hog price forecasts can be improved using composite forecasts in an out-of-sample context. Price forecasts from four wellrecognized outlook programs are combined with futures-based forecasts, ARIMA, and unrestricted Vector Autoregressive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009368379
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Live and Feeder Cattle Options Markets: Returns, Risk, and Volatility Forecasting
Brittain, Lee; Garcia, Philip; Irwin, Scott H. - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, … - 2009
The paper examines empirical returns from holding thirty- and ninety-day call and put positions, and the forecasting performance of implied volatility in the live and feeder cattle options markets. In both markets, implied volatility is an upwardly biased and inefficient predictor of realized...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009368384