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~subject:"Forecasting model"
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Accuracy of Vote Expectation S...
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Forecasting model
Prognoseverfahren
38
Voting behaviour
24
Wahlverhalten
24
Presidential election
15
Präsidentschaftswahl
15
Theorie
14
Theory
14
Election
13
Forecast
13
Prognose
13
Wahl
13
USA
10
United States
10
Economic forecast
7
Wirtschaftsprognose
7
Combining forecasts
5
Election forecasting
5
Estimation
5
Schätzung
5
Combining
4
Econometric model
4
Econometric models
4
Index method
4
accuracy
4
Ökonometrisches Modell
4
Advertising
3
Delphi technique
3
Delphi-Methode
3
Experiment
3
Expert judgment
3
Polls
3
Prediction markets
3
elections
3
forecasting
3
index method
3
Advertising effectiveness
2
Advertising planning
2
Bayes-Statistik
2
Bayesian inference
2
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Free
23
Undetermined
5
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Book / Working Paper
24
Article
14
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Aufsatz in Zeitschrift
14
Graue Literatur
3
Non-commercial literature
3
Arbeitspapier
2
Working Paper
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Hochschulschrift
1
Thesis
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Language
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English
38
Author
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Graefe, Andreas
38
Armstrong, J. Scott
17
Green, Kesten C.
12
Armstrong, Jon Scott
11
Cuzan, Alfred G.
5
Jones, Randall J.
5
Du, Rui
2
Jones, Randall J. <jun>
2
Riedl, Bernhard
2
Stierle, Veronika
2
Cote, Joseph A.
1
Cuzán, Alfred G.
1
Cuzáne, Alfred G.
1
Kuechenhoff, Helmut
1
Küchenhoff, Helmut
1
Weinhardt, Christof
1
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Journal of business research : JBR
5
International journal of forecasting
4
European journal of marketing : EJM
2
Journal of behavioral decision making
2
Working papers / Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania / Marketing
2
APSA 2011 Annual Meeting Paper
1
APSA 2014 Annual Meeting Paper
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Forthcoming in PS: Political Science and Politics
1
The journal of prediction markets
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ECONIS (ZBW)
38
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Improving forecasts using equally weighted predictors
Graefe, Andreas
- In:
Journal of business research : JBR
68
(
2015
)
8
,
pp. 1792-1799
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011317060
Saved in:
2
Accuracy of German federal election forecasts, 2013 and 2017
Graefe, Andreas
- In:
International journal of forecasting
35
(
2019
)
3
,
pp. 868-877
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305185
Saved in:
3
Embrace the differences : revisiting the PollyVote method of combining forecasts for U.S. presidential elections (2004 to 2020)
Graefe, Andreas
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
1
,
pp. 170-177
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014462773
Saved in:
4
Long-term forecasting with prediction markets : a field experiment on applicability and expert confidence
Graefe, Andreas
;
Weinhardt, Christof
- In:
The journal of prediction markets
2
(
2008
)
2
,
pp. 69-89
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003766483
Saved in:
5
Combining forecasts for predicting US presidential election outcomes
Graefe, Andreas
;
Armstrong, Jon Scott
;
Jones, Randall …
-
2010
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009377068
Saved in:
6
Forecasting elections from voters’ perceptions of candidates' ability to handle issues
Graefe, Andreas
;
Armstrong, Jon Scott
-
2010
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009377073
Saved in:
7
Predicting elections from the most important issue : a test of the take-the-best heuristic
Graefe, Andreas
;
Armstrong, Jon Scott
- In:
Journal of behavioral decision making
25
(
2012
)
1
,
pp. 41-48
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009487832
Saved in:
8
Golden rule of forecasting rearticulated : forecast unto others as you would have them forecast unto you
Green, Kesten C.
;
Armstrong, Jon Scott
;
Graefe, Andreas
- In:
Journal of business research : JBR
68
(
2015
)
8
,
pp. 1768-1771
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011317064
Saved in:
9
Golden rule of forecasting : be conservative
Armstrong, Jon Scott
;
Green, Kesten C.
;
Graefe, Andreas
- In:
Journal of business research : JBR
68
(
2015
)
8
,
pp. 1717-1731
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011317073
Saved in:
10
Combining forecasts : an application to elections
Graefe, Andreas
;
Armstrong, Jon Scott
;
Jones, Randall …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
30
(
2013
)
1
,
pp. 43-54
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010243645
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