The study's objective is to check whether the predictive power of Machine Learning Techniques is better than Logistic Regression in predicting the bankruptcy of firms and that the same predictive power of ascertaining bankruptcy improves when a proxy for uncertainty is added to the model as a...

Innovations in statistical technology have sparked concerns about distributional impacts across categories such as race and gender. Theoretically, as statistical technology improves, distributional consequences depend on how changes in functional forms interact with cross-category distributions...

This paper proposes a machine learning approach to estimate physical forward default intensities. Default probabilities are computed using artificial neural networks to estimate the intensities of the inhomogeneous Poisson processes governing default process. The major contribution to previous...

Credit risk evaluation has a relevant role to financial institutions, since lending may result in real and immediate losses. In particular, default prediction is one of the most challenging activities for managing credit risk. This study analyzes the adequacy of borrower's classification models...