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~subject:"Prognoseverfahren"
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Prognoseverfahren
Forecasting model
39,853
Prognose
21,639
Theorie
18,052
Theory
17,675
Forecast
16,468
Wahlverhalten
11,816
Voting behaviour
11,316
USA
6,993
Schätzung
6,839
Estimation
6,645
United States
6,483
Zeitreihenanalyse
5,992
Time series analysis
5,792
Kapitaleinkommen
5,144
Capital income
5,124
Deutschland
4,487
Wirtschaftsprognose
4,281
Welt
4,087
Economic forecast
4,086
Börsenkurs
4,035
World
3,986
Share price
3,977
Volatilität
3,958
Volatility
3,893
Germany
3,361
Wahl
2,948
Election
2,859
Ideologie
2,571
Frühindikator
2,529
Leading indicator
2,507
EU-Staaten
2,380
Finanzanalyse
2,340
Ideology
2,335
Financial analysis
2,311
EU countries
2,272
Inflation
2,211
Schätztheorie
1,953
Neue politische Ökonomie
1,952
Public choice
1,935
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Free
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Undetermined
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32
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Article in journal
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7,027
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Konferenzbeitrag
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Konferenzschrift
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Conference proceedings
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Handbuch
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Gupta, Rangan
286
Marcellino, Massimiliano
200
Franses, Philip Hans
190
Diebold, Francis X.
176
Timmermann, Allan
174
Ravazzolo, Francesco
159
Clark, Todd E.
148
Pierdzioch, Christian
141
Clements, Michael P.
138
McAleer, Michael
125
Kapetanios, George
119
Swanson, Norman R.
117
McCracken, Michael W.
115
Hyndman, Rob J.
111
Pesaran, M. Hashem
109
Giannone, Domenico
106
Koopman, Siem Jan
102
Ma, Feng
102
Hendry, David F.
96
Rossi, Barbara
96
Schorfheide, Frank
94
Lahiri, Kajal
93
Koop, Gary
91
Kilian, Lutz
88
Fildes, Robert
87
Siliverstovs, Boriss
87
McMillan, David G.
84
Ghysels, Eric
77
Dijk, Dick van
73
Mitchell, James
69
Fritsche, Ulrich
67
Guidolin, Massimo
66
Carriero, Andrea
65
Dijk, Herman K. van
65
Armstrong, J. Scott
64
Wang, Yudong
64
Wolfers, Justin
62
Bollerslev, Tim
60
Athanasopoulos, George
59
Watson, Mark W.
59
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National Bureau of Economic Research
291
OECD
25
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
23
European University Institute / Department of Law
16
Springer Fachmedien Wiesbaden
12
Gottfried Wilhelm Leibniz Universität Hannover
10
Österreichisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung
10
Rutgers University / Department of Economics
9
Sonderforschungsbereich Quantifikation und Simulation Ökonomischer Prozesse
9
University of Strathclyde / Department of Economics
9
Christian-Albrechts-Universität zu Kiel
8
European University Institute / Department of Economics
8
Europäische Kommission / Generaldirektion Wirtschaft und Finanzen
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Ekonomiska forskningsinstitutet <Stockholm>
7
Federal Reserve System / Division of Research and Statistics
7
IGI Global
7
Innocenzo Gasparini Institute for Economic Research <Mailand>
7
Konjunkturforschungsstelle <Zürich>
7
University of Canterbury / Dept. of Economics and Finance
7
Centre for Quantitative Economics & Computing
6
Erasmus Research Institute of Management
6
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
6
Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB)
6
Institut für Höhere Studien
6
Institut für Weltwirtschaft
6
University of Cambridge / Department of Applied Economics
6
Verlag Dr. Kovač
6
Zakład Teorii Prognoz <Krakau>
6
Birkbeck College / Department of Economics
5
Europäische Kommission / Gemeinsame Forschungsstelle
5
Europäische Kommission / Statistisches Amt
5
Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
5
Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys
4
Christian-Albrechts-Universität zu Kiel / Institut für Volkswirtschaftslehre
4
Deutsche Gesellschaft für Operations-Research / Arbeitsgruppe Prognoseverfahren im Marketing
4
Econometrisch Instituut <Rotterdam>
4
Escola de Pós-Graduação em Economia <Rio de Janeiro>
4
Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City / Research Division
4
Narodna Banka na Republika Makedonija
4
Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research
4
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International journal of forecasting
1,593
Journal of forecasting
882
Technological forecasting & social change : an international journal
332
Finance research letters
300
Energy economics
297
Applied economics
293
Journal of econometrics
280
NBER working paper series
272
European journal of operational research : EJOR
259
Working paper
255
Economic modelling
241
NBER Working Paper
235
Applied economics letters
224
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a publication of the American Statistical Association
224
International review of financial analysis
221
Economics letters
204
Journal of banking & finance
202
Working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
201
Discussion paper / Centre for Economic Policy Research
194
Discussion paper / Tinbergen Institute
189
Journal of empirical finance
179
ECB Working Paper
169
Working paper series / European Central Bank
168
Computational economics
163
Journal of applied econometrics
154
Management science : journal of the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences
153
Empirical economics : a journal of the Institute for Advanced Studies, Vienna, Austria
152
International review of economics & finance : IREF
150
The North American journal of economics and finance : a journal of financial economics studies
146
CESifo working papers
139
Working paper / Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, Monash University
136
IMF working papers
134
International journal of production economics
130
International journal of production research
124
Risks : open access journal
118
Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM
115
Journal of financial economics
113
Applied financial economics
110
Advances in business and management forecasting
107
Pacific-Basin finance journal
105
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ECONIS (ZBW)
39,926
EconStor
739
USB Cologne (EcoSocSci)
125
RePEc
31
OLC EcoSci
17
USB Cologne (business full texts)
7
ArchiDok
1
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1
Predicting elections from the most important issue : a test of the take-the-best heuristic
Graefe, Andreas
;
Armstrong, Jon Scott
- In:
Journal of behavioral decision making
25
(
2012
)
1
,
pp. 41-48
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009487832
Saved in:
2
Evaluating US presidential election forecasts and forecasting equations
Campbell, James E.
- In:
International journal of forecasting
24
(
2008
)
2
,
pp. 257-269
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003764129
Saved in:
3
Using polls to
forecast
popular vote share for US presidential elections 2016 and 2020 : an optimal
forecast
combination based on ensemble empirical model
Easaw, Joshy Z.
;
Fang, Yongmei
;
Heravi, Saeed M.
- In:
Journal of the Operational Research Society
74
(
2023
)
3
,
pp. 905-911
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014332233
Saved in:
4
Embrace the differences : revisiting the PollyVote method of combining forecasts for U.S. presidential elections (2004 to 2020)
Graefe, Andreas
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
1
,
pp. 170-177
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014462773
Saved in:
5
Fiscal Model
Forecast
for the 2016 Presidential Election
Cuzan, Alfred G.
-
2016
The Fiscal Model of Presidential Elections, as modified after its failure to
forecast
President Obama's reelection in … 2012, accounts for all but three out of sample retrodictions since 1916. This year, its point
forecast
has the incumbent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012985379
Saved in:
6
Forecasting the 2020 and 2024 U.S. presidential elections
Walker, David
- In:
Journal of forecasting
42
(
2023
)
6
,
pp. 1519-1535
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014338949
Saved in:
7
Forecasting the 2012 Presidential Election with the Fiscal Model
Cuzan, Alfred G.
-
2012
In this paper, I summarize the Fiscal Model and use it to make a
forecast
of President Obama's share of the two party …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102752
Saved in:
8
Forecasting the 2012 Presidential Election With the Fiscal Model
Cuzan, Alfred G.
-
2012
The fiscal model of presidential elections is summarized and used to
forecast
President Obama's share of the two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013109218
Saved in:
9
Using polls to
forecast
popular vote share for US presidential elections 2016 and 2020 : an optimal
forecast
combination based on ensemble empirical model
Easaw, Joshy Z.
;
Fang, Yongmei
;
Heravi, Saeed M.
-
2021
interest in this study is the short- and long-term forecasting and, thus, we consider from the short
forecast
horizon of 1-day …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013177191
Saved in:
10
Regional heterogeneity and US presidential elections : real-time 2020 forecasts and evaluation
Ahmed, Rashad
;
Pesaran, M. Hashem
- In:
International journal of forecasting
38
(
2022
)
2
,
pp. 662-687
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013348692
Saved in:
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