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~subject:"Prognoseverfahren"
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Prognoseverfahren
Forecasting model
14
Theorie
10
Theory
10
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6
Forecast
5
Arbeitsgruppe
4
Führungskräfte
4
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4
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3
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3
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3
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3
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3
forecasting
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2
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2
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2
Combining forecasts
2
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2
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2
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2
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2
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Tetlock, Philip E.
14
Mellers, Barbara A.
11
Satopää, Ville A.
3
Ungar, Lyle
3
Atanasov, Pavel
2
Baron, Jonathan
2
Lu, Yunzi
2
Salikhov, Marat
2
Schoemaker, Paul J.
2
Stone, Eric
2
Swift, Samuel A.
2
Budescu, David V.
1
Chen, Eva
1
Foster, Dean P.
1
Gardner, Dan
1
Karvetski, Christopher W.
1
Lakshmikanth, Shrinidhi K.
1
Maxwell, Daniel T.
1
Meinel, Carolyn
1
Merkle, Edgar C.
1
Minster, Angela
1
Moore, Don A.
1
Neubauer, Jürgen
1
Rescober, Phillip
1
Servan-Schreiber, Emile
1
Steyvers, Mark
1
Tenney, Elizabeth R.
1
Ungar, Lyle H.
1
Witkowski, Jens
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S. Fischer Verlag
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International journal of forecasting
5
Management science : journal of the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences
3
Decision analysis : a journal of the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences, INFORMS
2
Harvard business review : HBR
1
Harvard-Business-Manager : das Wissen der Besten
1
Organizational behavior and human decision processes : a journal of fundamental research and theory in applied psychology
1
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ECONIS (ZBW)
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Validating the contribution-weighted model : robustness and cost-benefit analyses
Chen, Eva
;
Budescu, David V.
;
Lakshmikanth, Shrinidhi K.
; …
- In:
Decision analysis : a journal of the Institute for …
13
(
2016
)
2
,
pp. 128-152
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011503760
Saved in:
2
Superforecasting : how to upgrade your company's judgment
Schoemaker, Paul J.
;
Tetlock, Philip E.
- In:
Harvard business review : HBR
94
(
2016
)
5
,
pp. 72-78
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011460044
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3
Der genauere Blick in die Zukunft
Schoemaker, Paul J.
;
Tetlock, Philip E.
- In:
Harvard-Business-Manager : das Wissen der Besten
38
(
2016
)
8
,
pp. 40-48
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011536547
Saved in:
4
Combining multiple probability predictions using a simple logit model
Satopää, Ville A.
;
Baron, Jonathan
;
Foster, Dean P.
; …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
30
(
2014
)
2
,
pp. 344-356
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010510904
Saved in:
5
A neglected dimension of good forecasting judgment : the questions we choose also matter
Merkle, Edgar C.
;
Steyvers, Mark
;
Mellers, Barbara A.
; …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
33
(
2017
)
4
,
pp. 817-832
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011746911
Saved in:
6
Confidence calibration in a multiyear geopolitical forecasting competition
Moore, Don A.
;
Swift, Samuel A.
;
Minster, Angela
; …
- In:
Management science : journal of the Institute for …
63
(
2017
)
11
,
pp. 3552-3565
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011772472
Saved in:
7
Two reasons to make aggregated probability forecasts more extreme
Baron, Jonathan
;
Mellers, Barbara A.
;
Tetlock, Philip E.
; …
- In:
Decision analysis : a journal of the Institute for …
11
(
2014
)
2
,
pp. 133-145
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010382759
Saved in:
8
Decomposing the effects of crowd-wisdom aggregators : the bias-information-noise (BIN) model
Satopää, Ville A.
;
Salikhov, Marat
;
Tetlock, Philip E.
; …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
1
,
pp. 470-485
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014462792
Saved in:
9
Bias, information, noise : the BIN model of forecasting
Satopää, Ville A.
;
Salikhov, Marat
;
Tetlock, Philip E.
; …
- In:
Management science : journal of the Institute for …
67
(
2021
)
12
,
pp. 7599-7618
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012815391
Saved in:
10
Small steps to accuracy : Incremental belief updaters are better forecasters
Atanasov, Pavel
;
Witkowski, Jens
;
Ungar, Lyle
;
Mellers, …
- In:
Organizational behavior and human decision processes : …
160
(
2020
),
pp. 19-35
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012303362
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