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International journal of forecasting
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Decision analysis : a journal of the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences, INFORMS
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Validating the contribution-weighted model : robustness and cost-benefit analyses
Chen, Eva
;
Budescu, David V.
;
Lakshmikanth, Shrinidhi K.
; …
- In:
Decision analysis : a journal of the Institute for …
13
(
2016
)
2
,
pp. 128-152
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011503760
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2
Combining multiple probability predictions using a simple logit model
Satopää, Ville A.
;
Baron, Jonathan
;
Foster, Dean P.
; …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
30
(
2014
)
2
,
pp. 344-356
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010510904
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3
A behaviorally informed survey : powered market agent
Inchauspe, Jessica
;
Atanasov, Pavel
;
Mellers, Barbara A.
; …
- In:
The journal of prediction markets
8
(
2014
)
2
,
pp. 1-28
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010530213
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4
A neglected dimension of good forecasting judgment : the questions we choose also matter
Merkle, Edgar C.
;
Steyvers, Mark
;
Mellers, Barbara A.
; …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
33
(
2017
)
4
,
pp. 817-832
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011746911
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5
Confidence calibration in a multiyear geopolitical forecasting competition
Moore, Don A.
;
Swift, Samuel A.
;
Minster, Angela
; …
- In:
Management science : journal of the Institute for …
63
(
2017
)
11
,
pp. 3552-3565
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011772472
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6
Two reasons to make aggregated probability forecasts more extreme
Baron, Jonathan
;
Mellers, Barbara A.
;
Tetlock, Philip E.
; …
- In:
Decision analysis : a journal of the Institute for …
11
(
2014
)
2
,
pp. 133-145
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010382759
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7
Decomposing the effects of crowd-wisdom aggregators : the bias-information-noise (BIN) model
Satopää, Ville A.
;
Salikhov, Marat
;
Tetlock, Philip E.
; …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
1
,
pp. 470-485
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014462792
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8
Bias, information, noise : the BIN model of forecasting
Satopää, Ville A.
;
Salikhov, Marat
;
Tetlock, Philip E.
; …
- In:
Management science : journal of the Institute for …
67
(
2021
)
12
,
pp. 7599-7618
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012815391
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9
Small steps to accuracy : Incremental belief updaters are better forecasters
Atanasov, Pavel
;
Witkowski, Jens
;
Ungar, Lyle
;
Mellers, …
- In:
Organizational behavior and human decision processes : …
160
(
2020
),
pp. 19-35
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012303362
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10
False dichotomy alert : improving subjective-probability estimates vs. raising awareness of systemic risk
Tetlock, Philip E.
;
Lu, Yunzi
;
Mellers, Barbara A.
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
2
,
pp. 1021-1025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014465214
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