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Forecasting the presidential p...
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1
Predicting elections from the most important issue : a test of the take-the-best heuristic
Graefe, Andreas
;
Armstrong, Jon Scott
- In:
Journal of behavioral decision making
25
(
2012
)
1
,
pp. 41-48
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009487832
Saved in:
2
Evaluating US presidential election forecasts and forecasting equations
Campbell, James E.
- In:
International journal of forecasting
24
(
2008
)
2
,
pp. 257-269
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003764129
Saved in:
3
Using polls to
forecast
popular vote share for US presidential elections 2016 and 2020 : an optimal
forecast
combination based on ensemble empirical model
Easaw, Joshy Z.
;
Fang, Yongmei
;
Heravi, Saeed M.
- In:
Journal of the Operational Research Society
74
(
2023
)
3
,
pp. 905-911
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014332233
Saved in:
4
Embrace the differences : revisiting the PollyVote method of combining forecasts for U.S. presidential elections (2004 to 2020)
Graefe, Andreas
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
1
,
pp. 170-177
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014462773
Saved in:
5
Fiscal Model
Forecast
for the 2016 Presidential Election
Cuzan, Alfred G.
-
2016
The Fiscal Model of Presidential Elections, as modified after its failure to
forecast
President Obama's reelection in … 2012, accounts for all but three out of sample retrodictions since 1916. This year, its point
forecast
has the incumbent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012985379
Saved in:
6
Forecasting the 2020 and 2024 U.S. presidential elections
Walker, David
- In:
Journal of forecasting
42
(
2023
)
6
,
pp. 1519-1535
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014338949
Saved in:
7
Forecasting the 2012 Presidential Election with the Fiscal Model
Cuzan, Alfred G.
-
2012
In this paper, I summarize the Fiscal Model and use it to make a
forecast
of President Obama's share of the two party …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102752
Saved in:
8
Forecasting the 2012 Presidential Election With the Fiscal Model
Cuzan, Alfred G.
-
2012
The fiscal model of presidential elections is summarized and used to
forecast
President Obama's share of the two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013109218
Saved in:
9
Using polls to
forecast
popular vote share for US presidential elections 2016 and 2020 : an optimal
forecast
combination based on ensemble empirical model
Easaw, Joshy Z.
;
Fang, Yongmei
;
Heravi, Saeed M.
-
2021
interest in this study is the short- and long-term forecasting and, thus, we consider from the short
forecast
horizon of 1-day …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013177191
Saved in:
10
Regional heterogeneity and US presidential elections : real-time 2020 forecasts and evaluation
Ahmed, Rashad
;
Pesaran, M. Hashem
- In:
International journal of forecasting
38
(
2022
)
2
,
pp. 662-687
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013348692
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