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This article re-examines the controversial issue of the usefulness of attitudinal indices as leading indicators of consumer durable expenditures. First a cross-validation is performed using the two most popular indices of consumer sentiment (Survey Research Center and Conference Board). The...
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Evidence is provided of security analyst (SA) superiority relative to univariate time-series (TS) models in predicting firms' quarterly earnings numbers. It is demonstrated that SA forecast superiority in the sample is attributable to: 1. better use of information that exists on the date that TS...
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This paper empirically examines whether labor strikes affect the forecasting and information content of quarterly earnings numbers. We address two issues regarding financial analyst forecast (FAF) superiority: whether FAF superiority increases when a strike occurs and if so, whether the increase...
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This study examines the association between abnormal returns and five alternative proxies for the market's assessment of unexpected quarterly earnings. We examine the role that measurement error potentially has in multiple regression tests of abnormal returns (occurring around the time of...
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